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fix: rerender post and add webp images
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content/blog/2015-07-23-template-post.Rmd

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draft: true # remove this line in new blog posts
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authors: # list of author keys, see /data/authors.yaml
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- frida
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heroImage: /blog/images/blog-lg-img_hello-world.jpg
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/blog-thumb-img_hello-world.jpg
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heroImage: /blog/images/blog-lg-img_hello-world.jpg # size: 1120x440 jpg and webp format
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/blog-thumb-img_hello-world.jpg # size: 300x200 jpg and webp format
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summary: |
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Blog summary, the first 150 characters are used for the blog list
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acknowledgements: |

content/blog/2021-01-21-unpack-cfr.Rmd

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- CDC data
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- FDOH data
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- time series
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heroImage: /blog/images/unpack-cfr/unpack-cfr-full-size.jpg
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/unpack-cfr/unpack-cfr-thumb.jpg
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heroImage: /blog/images/unpack-cfr-full-size.jpg
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/unpack-cfr-thumb.jpg
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summary: |
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Since the pandemic started, case fatality has plummeted. How can we unpack treatment improvements versus younger patients, increased testing, etc.?
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content/blog/2021-01-21-unpack-cfr.html

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- CDC data
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- FDOH data
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- time series
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heroImage: /blog/images/blog-lg-img_hello-world.jpg
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/blog-thumb-img_hello-world.jpg
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heroImage: /blog/images/unpack-cfr-full-size.jpg
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heroImageThumb: /blog/images/unpack-cfr-thumb.jpg
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summary: |
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Since the pandemic started, case fatality has plummeted. How can we unpack treatment improvements versus younger patients, increased testing, etc.?
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<div id="introduction" class="section level2">
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<h2>Introduction</h2>
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<p>Since the COVID-19 pandemic first reached the United States, the case fatality (CFR) rate has fallen considerably. Between the first peak in mid-April and the second peak in mid-July, the case fatality rate fell from 7.9% to the 0.7%–2.3% range, where it has since remained despite cases rising again into an (ongoing) third wave:</p>
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<p>Since July, our team at CMU DELPHI has been tracking the drop in case fatality rates, driven by the question: <strong><em>“What explains the movement (and apparent overall decline) in case fatality rate over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic?”</em></strong> Last month, we released a <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.04825">manuscript</a> analyzing the data through Thanksgiving. This blog post distills our work on unpacking the drop in CFR, with newly updated data released on December 31st.</p>
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<p>Indeed, over the course of the pandemic, the case fatality (CFR) rate has fallen considerably. Between the first peak in mid-April and the second peak in mid-July, the case fatality rate in the United States fell from 7.9% to the 0.7%–2.3% range, where it has since remained despite cases rising again into an (ongoing) third wave:</p>
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<div class="figure">
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<img src="/blog/2021-01-21-unpack-cfr_files/img_country/national_cases.svg" alt="" />
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<p class="caption"><strong>Figure 1.</strong> From left to right: confirmed cases, deaths, and case fatality rate, calculated using 7-day trailing averages based on national reporting data available via USAFacts (<span class="citation"><a href="#ref-usafacts" role="doc-biblioref">USAFacts</a> (<a href="#ref-usafacts" role="doc-biblioref">2020</a>)</span>) and pulled from the CMU COVIDcast API (<span class="citation"><a href="#ref-covidcast2020api" role="doc-biblioref">Project</a> (<a href="#ref-covidcast2020api" role="doc-biblioref">2020</a>)</span>). Data outside the April 1st to December 1st time range considered in this study is grayed out.</p>
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</div>
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<p>Since July, our team at CMU DELPHI has been tracking the drop in case fatality rates, driven by the question: <strong><em>“What explains the movement (and apparent overall decline) in case fatality rate over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic?”</em></strong> Last month, we released a <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.04825">manuscript</a> analyzing the data through Thanksgiving. This blog post provides a vignette of our work on unpacking the drop in CFR, with newly updated data released on December 31st.</p>
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<div id="existing-hypotheses" class="section level3">
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<h3>Existing hypotheses</h3>
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<p>In both academic articles and the broader public discourse, several possible explanations have been floated for the drop in CFR, mostly centering around the following hypotheses:</p>
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